Practical Trend Analysis Applying Signals and Indicators to Improve Trade Timing 2nd Edition by Michael Thomsett ISBN 9781547401086 1547401087

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ISBN 10: 1547401087
ISBN 13: 9781547401086
Author: Michael Thomsett

Practical Trend Analysis Applying Signals and Indicators to Improve Trade Timing 2nd Edition Table of contents:

Chapter 1: The Theory of Trends: Dow, EMH, and RMH in Context

Five Assumptions about Short-Term Trends

The Beginnings of Trend Analysis: The Dow Theory

The Dow Theory Applied

Other Price Theories: EMH

Types of EMH in Theory

The Bubble Effect

Other Price Theories: RWH

Trend Analysis as a Risk Management Process

Chapter 2: Statistically Speaking: Trends by the Numbers

Fat Tails and Trends

Bollinger Bands

Statistical Tendencies

Trends and Averages

Trends versus Price

Strength and Weakness of Trends

Pattern Cycles

Market Sentiment Expressed in the Trend

Momentum Trading

Statistical Measurements and Trend Behavior Distinguished

Spikes and How to Manage Them

After the Spike: Breakouts and Reversals

Statistical Analysis of Fundamentals

Game Theory Applied to Trend Analysis

Magical Thinking and Trends

Chapter 3: Resistance and Support: A Trend’s Moment of Truth

Tests of Breadth

The Nature of Resistance and Support

The Channeling Trading Range

Reaction High and Low Prices

The Bouncing Price within a Trend

The Flip

Wedge-Shaped Trends

Triangle-Shaped Trends

Support and Resistance Zones

Breakouts as Signals of Supply and Demand Adjustment

Chapter 4: Trendlines and Channel Lines: The Shape of Things to Come

Signal Patterns versus Trends

Trendlines and What They Reveal

Price Increments on Charts

Trend Angles

Internal Trendlines

Validation of the Trend

Retracement versus Reversal

Fibonacci Retracement

Channel Line Types

Expanding with the t-line

Chapter 5: Reversal Patterns: End of the Trend

The Dilemma: Minor or Major Reversal

Reversal versus Consolidation

The Time Element: Momentum of Reversal

Reversal in Western Patterns

Head and Shoulders

Gaps

Rounding Top and Bottom

Rectangle Top and Bottom

Double Top and Bottom

Diamond Formations

Reversal in Eastern Patterns

Long Candles

Doji Formations

Hammer and Hanging Man

Engulfing Pattern

Harami and Harami Cross

Doji Star

Piercing and Meeting Lines

Three White Soldiers and Three Black Crows

Morning and Evening Star

Abandoned Baby

Squeeze Alert

Divergence and its Role in Reversal Trends

Breakouts and Proximity to Resistance or Support

Conclusion

Chapter 6: Continuation Patterns: A Bend in the Trend

Continuation and its Relationship to Reversal

Western Continuation Signals

Head and Shoulders

Inverse Head and Shoulders

Gaps

Rounding Top and Bottom

Rectangle Top and Bottom

Double Top and Bottom

Diamond Formation

Flags and Pennants

Cup and Handle

Eastern Continuation Signals

Long Candlesticks

Long-Legged Doji and Spinning Top

Thrusting and Separating Lines

Side-by-Side Lines

Tasuki Gap

Gap Filled

Chapter 7: Confirmation Signals: Turning the Odds in Your Favor

The Causes of Price Movement

Behavioral Psychology and the Market

The Flaw of Overconfidence

Resistance and Support as Keys to Confirmation Proximity

Strong and Weak Confirmation

Momentum and Timing of Preceding Trends

Divergence Analysis and Confirmation

Fundamental Analysis and Confirmation

Confirmation Bias

Chapter 8: Consolidation Patterns; The Sideways Pause

Consolidation and its Meaning

Resistance and Support as Keys to Consolidation Reading

The Triangle Breakout

Volume Spikes and Gaps

Breakout Signals

Consolidation Plateaus

The Bollinger Squeeze

Chapter 9: Volume Signals: Tracking Price Trends

How Volume Confirms Trends

Confirmation Trends with Volume

Trends with Volume-Marked Breakouts

Trend Climax and Gap Patterns

On Balance Volume

Accumulation/Distribution

Money Flow Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chaikin Oscillator

Chapter 10: Mind the Gap: When Price Jumps Signal Change

The Nature of Gaps

Gaps Filled or Unfilled

Gap Up and Gap Down

Common Gaps

Hidden Gaps

Breakaway Gaps

Runaway Gaps

Exhaustion Gaps

Island Cluster

Ex-Dividend Gaps

Gaps as Part of Other Signals

Gap Proximity to Resistance or Support

Chapter 11: Moving Averages: Order in the Change

Two Moving Averages

Bollinger Bands

Convergence

Divergence

Price Crossover

MA Double Crossover

Resistance and Support

Chapter 12: Momentum Oscillators: Duration and Speed of a Trend

The Nature of Momentum

Relative Strength Index

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

Stochastic Oscillator

Chapter 13: Volatility: Marking Risk within the Trend

Calculating Volatility

Volatility Indicator

Evolving Volatility Levels

Average True Range

Volatility According to the VIX

Chapter 14: Fundamentals: Connecting the Two Sides

Value Versus Growth

The Concept of Fundamental Volatility

Dividend per Share and Increased Dividends

P/E Ratio

Revenue and Earnings

Debt to Total Capitalization Ratio

Comparing Fundamental Trends to Technical Trends

Chapter 15: Overview: Putting It All Together

Moving from Downtrend to Consolidation

Secondary Trend Volatility

Large Price Move Ending Primary Trend

Primary Trend with Secondary Trend

Consolidation Primary Trend with Failed Breakouts

Conclusion

Bibliography

Index

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