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Any Happy Returns Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets 1st Edition by Peter Oppenheimer 1394210353 9781394210350

Name: Any Happy Returns Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets 1st Edition by Peter Oppenheimer 1394210353 9781394210350
SKU: EB-54864100
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Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets 1st Edition Peter C. Oppenheimer Digital Instant Download

Author(s): Peter C. Oppenheimer

ISBN(s): 9781394210350, 1394210353

Edition: 1

File Details: PDF, 14.91 MB

Year: 2024

Language: English

SKU: EB-54864100 Category: Business & Economics - Markets Tag: Peter C. Oppenheimer

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Any Happy Returns Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets 1st Edition by Peter Oppenheimer – Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery: 1394210353, 9781394210350

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ISBN 10: 1394210353

ISBN 13: 9781394210350

Author: Peter C. Oppenheimer

“Clear and well-written, and can be seen as a helpful primer on a wide range of issues independent of its main theses” – The Society of Professional Economists – Reading Room

“An invaluable read for economic history buffs, the book also offers hints on how to invest wisely that will appeal to other readers too.”– Financial Times

‘An in-depth but accessible analysis of the complex factors that impact structural changes in financial markets and investor opportunities.’

In Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets, celebrated author Peter C. Oppenheimer delivers his much-anticipated follow-up to The Long Good Buy. The book discusses how structural changes in macroeconomic drivers, geopolitics, government policy and social attitudes all combine to drive secular super cycles that help to explain investor returns.

The author focuses on what he calls the Post-Modern Cycle, what it’s likely to look like, how it will unfold and what investors should focus on. You’ll also find:

An introduction to the history of cycles and structural ‘Super Cycles’, and what has driven them.
A detailed analysis of Super Cycles since 1945, including the Post-War Boom, the Great Moderation, the post Global Financial Crisis and Pandemic era.
The specific drivers of the emerging Post-Modern Cycle amid a higher cost of capital, bigger governments, more proactive industrial policy, greater regulation, and less globalisation.
Oppenheimer focuses on the developments in technology and AI, and on efforts to de-carbonise economies, and how these might impact financial market returns and opportunities.

An invaluable resource for students of economic and financial history, and for investors, Any Happy Returns is essential reading for anyone seeking insights into upcoming market conditions and returns.

Any Happy Returns Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets 1st Table of contents:

Chapter 1: An Introduction to Cycles and Secular Trends
1.1 Repeating Cycles
1.2 The Social and Political Cycle
1.3 The Business Cycle
1.4 Super Cycles in Financial Markets
1.5 Psychology and Financial Market Super Cycles

Part I: Structural Trends and Market Super Cycles
Chapter 2: Equity Cycles and Their Drivers
2.1 The Four Phases of the Equity Cycle
2.2 The Cycle and Bear Markets
2.3 Identifying the Transition from Bear Market to Bull Market

Chapter 3: Super Cycles and Their Drivers
3.1 Super Cycles in Economic Activity
3.2 Super Cycles in Inflation, Interest Rates, Government Debt, and Inequality
3.3 Super Cycles in Financial Markets

Part II: Analysing Post-war Super Cycles
Chapter 4: 1949–1968: Post-World War II Boom
4.1 International Agreements and Falling Risk Premia
4.2 Strong Economic Growth
4.3 Technological Innovation

Chapter 5: 1968–1982: Inflation and Low Returns
5.1 A Lost Decade for Investors
5.2 High Interest Rates and Low Growth
5.3 Social Unrest and Strikes

Chapter 6: 1982–2000: The Modern Cycle
6.1 The Great Moderation
6.2 Disinflation and a Lower Cost of Capital
6.3 Supply-Side Reforms

Chapter 7: 2000–2009: Bubbles and Troubles
7.1 The Bursting of the Technology Bubble
7.2 The Financial Crisis of 2007–2009
7.3 The Decline in Long-Term Growth Expectations

Chapter 8: 2009–2020: The Post-Financial-Crisis Cycle and Zero Interest Rates
8.1 Weak Growth but High Equity Returns
8.2 The Era of Free Money
8.3 Low Volatility

Chapter 9: The Pandemic and the Return of ‘Fat and Flat’
9.1 Pandemic Pandemonium
9.2 Another Tech Bubble
9.3 The Pandemic and Inflation

Part III: The Post-Modern Cycle
Chapter 10: The Post-Modern Cycle
10.1 Structural Shifts and Opportunities
10.2 Differences from the Modern Cycle

Chapter 11: The Post-Modern Cycle and Technology
11.1 Characteristics of Technology Revolutions
11.2 The PEARLs Framework for AI and Technology

Chapter 12: The Post-Modern Cycle: Opportunities in the ‘Old Economy’
12.1 Opportunities in Defence, Infrastructure, and Green Spending
12.2 Commodities and Capex Boom

Chapter 13: Summary and Conclusions
13.1 Cycles
13.2 Super Cycles
13.3 The Post-Modern Cycle

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